Notes
o_wheat indicates the monthly opening price estimate for the commodity wheat. It represents the initial market price at the start of each month, crucial for analyzing the opening market sentiment and baseline valuation. In financial analysis, especially in OHLC (Open, High, Low, Close) objects, the opening price is key to understanding the initial market conditions. Open price estimates are estimated as conditional means using a fractionally integrated GARCH (Generalized Autoregressive Heteroscedasticity) model estimated using a Generalized Error Distribution that allows for excess kurtosis. These data points are instrumental in plotting the price data in candlestick charts, which are pivotal for visual market analysis and identifying potential price trends, intra-month price volatility, or observe trend reversals that are significant when contrasted to natural monthly price spreads.